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Can the Warriors Break the Record?

The Golden State Warriors won the Larry O’Brien Trophy last summer for the first time in 40 years. The team had last year’s MVP, Steph Curry, who is only the second player to win the award in franchise history. The last Warriors’ MVP was Wilt Chamberlain in 1960, when the team played in Philadelphia.

Now, the Warriors are chasing more history. The best record in season was the ‘96 Bulls, who went 72-10. At the All-Star break, the Warriors are 48-4. The team only has 30 games left. To beat the record, they must go 25-5 the second half of the season. According to ESPNs BPI, the Warriors have a 36% chance to finish out the season with the best record ever.

Over the course of the last 30 games, Golden State has nine games against opponents with a winning percentage below .500, with the possibility of two more because two of their opponents are at .500 at the All-Star break.

Similar to the Bulls season, the Warriors have dropped a few games to inferior opponents such as the Milwaukee Bucks and Denver Nuggets.

The Warriors have already set the records this year. They started the season 24-0, absolutely crushing the 15-0 start by the ‘93-94 Houston Rockets. Golden State also owns the best winning percentage at the All-Star break with a .923 winning percentage, besting the ’66-67 Philadelphia 76ers who were 39-4 (.907 win percentage).

Golden State also had three All-Stars this year in Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green. Thompson won the Three-Point Contest, defeating last year’s champ and teammate Steph Curry as well as others.

Golden State Warriors

Curry and Thompson, known as the Splash Brothers, are two of the best shooters in the NBA from long distance. Both are shooting 42 percent or better from behind the arc and are averaging 29.8 and 21.3 points per game. If those two stay healthy throughout the season, the Warriors should be playing deep into the playoffs.

Green is also having a breakout season. He leads the NBA with 10 triple-doubles this season. Green is averaging 14.2 points per game, 9.5 rebounds and 7.2 assists. Only three other players have more than two triple-doubles on the year.

Just like the ’96 Bulls, Golden State has taken care of business on their home floor. The Warriors are 24-0 at home, while those Bulls were 39-2.

But, the Golden State Warriors have one of the toughest second halves in the NBA. Twenty-one of their final 30 games are against teams currently in the playoff picture. The Warriors also face the San Antonio Spurs, second-best record in the NBA, three times over the final month of the season.

Golden State Warriors with rings

Golden State plays Portland (3 times), LA Clippers (2), Atlanta (2), Miami, Orlando (2), Oklahoma City (2), LA Lakers, Utah (2), Phoenix, New Orleans, NY Knicks, Dallas (2), San Antonio (3), Minnesota (2), Philadelphia, Washington, Boston and Memphis (2).

However, the ’96 Bulls and 2015 Warriors do have one thing in common: Steve Kerr. Kerr was the back-up point guard on the 72-10 Bulls, but he played for them from ’92-98. Now, Kerr is the head coach of the Warriors and led them to the NBA title last year before sitting out most of this year due to complications from offseason back surgery.

The Warriors schedule over the last two months of the season will be difficult, but I can’t imagine them losing more than four games if they stay healthy. I predict them to go 26-4 and finish the regular season with a 74-8 record.

Comparing the seasons

How the 2015-16 Golden State Warriors' record matches up game-by-game with the 72-win Chicago Bulls of 1995-96.

Warriors result

Record

Game Number

Bulls result

Record

111-95 W vs. Pelicans

1-0

1

105-91 W vs. Hornets

1-0

112-92 W vs. Rockets

2-0

2

107-85 W vs. Celtics

2-0

134-120 W @ Pelicans

3-0

3

117-108 W vs. Raptors

3-0

119-69 W vs. Grizzlies

4-0

4

106-88 W @ Cavs

4-0

112-108 W vs. Clippers

5-0

5

110-106 W vs. Blazers

5-0

119-104 W vs. Nuggets

6-0

6

94-88 L @ Magic

5-1

103-94 W @ Kings

7-0

7

113-94 W vs. Cavs

6-1

109-95 W vs. Pistons

8-0

8

109-94 W vs. Nets

7-1

100-84 W @ Grizzlies

9-0

9

108-102 W @ Mavericks (OT)

8-1

129-116 W @ Timberwolves

10-0

10

103-94 W @ Spurs

9-1

107-99 W vs. Nets (OT)

11-0

11

90-85 W @ Jazz

10-1

115-110 W vs. Raptors

12-0

12

97-92 L @ Sonics

10-2

124-117 W @ Clippers

13-0

13

107-104 W @ Blazers

11-2

106-94 W vs. Bulls

14-0

14

94-88 W @ Grizzlies

12-2

118-105 W @ Nuggets

15-0

15

104-98 W @ Clippers

13-2

111-77 W vs. Lakers

16-0

16

101-94 W vs. Knicks

14-2

135-116 W @ Suns

17-0

17

106-87 W vs. Spurs

15-2

120-101 W vs. Kings

18-0

18

118-106 W @ Bucks

16-2

106-103 W @ Jazz

19-0

19

112-103 W vs. Magic

17-2

116-99 W @ Hornets

20-0

20

127-108 W @ Hawks

18-2

112-109 W @ Raptors

21-0

21

108-88 W vs. Lakers

19-2

114-98 W @ Nets

22-0

22

123-114 W @ Celtics

20-2

131-123 W @ Pacers

23-0

23

114-101 W vs. Mavericks

21-2

124-119 W @ Celtics (2 OT)

24-0

24

113-104 W vs. Raptors

22-2

108-95 L @ Bucks

24-1

25

100-86 W vs. Jazz

23-2

128-103 W vs. Suns

25-1

26

103-97 L @ Pacers

23-3

121-112 W vs.Bucks

26-1

27

120-93 W vs. Pacers

24-3

103-85 W vs. Jazz

27-1

28

95-93 W vs. Hawks

25-3

89-83 W vs. Cavs

28-1

29

100-86 W vs. Rockets

26-3

122-103 W vs. Kings

29-1

30

117-93 W @ Hornets

27-3

114-91 L @ Mavericks

29-2

31

113-84 W vs. Bucks

28-3

114-110 W @ Rockets

30-2

32

113-87 W vs. Sonics

29-3

111-108 W vs. Nuggets (OT)

31-2

33

120-93 W @ Sixers

30-3

111-101 W vs. Hornets

32-2

34

116-109 W @ Bullets

31-3

109-88 W @ Lakers

33-2

35

116-104 W vs. Sixers

32-3

128-108 W @ Blazers

34-2

36

92-89 W @ Raptors

33-3

128-116 W @ Kings

35-2

37

111-96 W @ Pistons

34-3

111-103 W vs. Heat

36-2

38

99-79 W @ Knicks

35-3

112-110 L @ Nuggets

36-3

39

104-84 W vs. Grizzlies

36-3

116-98 W vs. Lakers

37-3

40

102-80 W vs. Heat

37-3

113-95 L @ Pistons

37-4

41

93-82 W vs. Suns

38-3

132-98 W @ Cavaliers

38-4

42

98-87 W @ Rockets

39-3

125-94 W @ Bulls

39-4

43

105-85 W @ Kings

40-3

122-110 W Pacers

40-4

44

99-84 W @ Lakers

41-3

120-90 W Spurs

41-4

45

105-99 L @ Nuggets

41-4

127-107 W Mavericks

42-4

46

106-96 L @ Suns

41-5

108-105 W @ Sixers

43-4

47

99-95 W @ Warriors

42-5

116-95 W @ Knicks

44-4

48

111-98 W vs. Bullets

43-5

134-121 W @ Wizards

45-4

49

112-109 W @ Pistons (OT)

44-5

116-108 W Thunder

46-4

50

103-100 W @ Timberwolves

45-5

123-110 W vs. Rockets

47-4

51

110-102 W @ Pacers

46-5

112-104 W @ Suns

48-4

52

106-72 W vs. Cavs

47-5

@ Blazers (Feb. 19)

 

53

96-91 W @ Hawks

48-5

@ Clippers (Feb. 20)

 

54

113-104 L @ Heat

48-6

@ Hawks (Feb. 22)

 

55

111-91 W vs. Magic

49-6

@ Heat (Feb. 24)

 

56

120-99 W vs. Timberwolves

50-6

@ Magic (Feb. 25)

 

57

110-87 W vs. Warriors

51-6

@ Thunder (Feb. 27)

 

58

107-75 W vs. Celtics

52-6

vs. Hawks (March 1)

 

59

115-106 W vs. Bucks

53-6

vs. Thunder (March 3)

 

60

102-81 W vs. Pistons

54-6

@ Lakers (March 6)

 

61

104-72 L @ Knicks

54-7

vs. Magic (March 7)

 

62

103-86 W vs. Bullets

55-7

vs. Jazz (March 9)

 

63

108-87 W vs. Nuggets

56-7

vs. Blazers (March 11)

 

64

97-93 W @ Nets

57-7

vs. Suns (March 12)

 

65

98-94 W @ Sixers

58-7

vs. Pelicans (March 14)

 

66

89-67 W vs. Kings

59-7

vs. Knicks (March 16)

 

67

107-86 W vs. Knicks

60-7

@ Mavericks (March 18)

 

68

109-108 L @ Raptors

60-8

@ Spurs (March 19)

 

69

111-80 W vs. Hawks

61-8

@ Timberwolves (March 21)

 

70

106-85 W vs. Clippers

62-8

vs. Clippers (March 23)

 

71

110-92 W @ Heat

63-8

vs. Mavericks (March 25)

 

72

100-92 W vs. Heat

64-8

vs. Sixers (March 27)

 

73

126-92 W @ Hornets

65-8

vs. Wizards (March 29)

 

74

90-86 W @ Magic

66-8

@ Jazz (March 30)

 

75

98-97 L vs. Hornets

66-9

vs. Celtics (April 1)

 

76

113-100 W @ Nets

67-9

vs. Blazers (April 3)

 

77

112-82 W vs. Sixers

68-9

vs. Timberwolves (April 5)

 

78

98-72 W @ Cavs

69-9

vs. Spurs (April 7)

 

79

86-80 W @ Bucks

70-9

@ Grizzlies (April 9)

 

80

110-79 W vs. Pistons

71-9

@ Spurs (April 10)

 

81

100-99 L vs. Pacers

71-10

vs. Grizzlies (April 13)

 

82

103-93 W vs. Bullets

72-10

How many games will the Warriors Win?

Graphs via:

//www.nba.com/news/2015-16-golden-state-warriors-chase-1995-96-chicago-bulls-all-time-wins-record/index.html

//espnfivethirtyeight.files.wordpress.com/2015/12/wagner-feature-gswins-1.png?w=575

Images via: slamonline.com